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He Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Dallas Mavericks for a Western Conference showdown on Saturday afternoon. The Thunder are 35-16 overall and 15-10 on the road this season. Dallas is 29-23 overall and riding a three-game winning streak. Maxi Kleber (toe) is listed as questionable for Dallas, with Dante Exum (knee) and Derrick Lively II (nasal) ruled out. Gordon Hayward (calf) is out for Oklahoma City.
For this 3 pm ET kickoff, the SportsLine consensus lists Oklahoma City as the 2.5-point favorite. The total number of points Vegas believes will be scored, or over/under, is 239 in the latest Thunder vs. Mavericks. Before making any Mavericks vs. Thunder, will you see NBA predictions and betting tips from advanced computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated over $10,000 in earnings for $100 players on its top-rated site. NBA selections for the last five seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2023-24 NBA season on an excellent 51-33 run on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $1,700. Anyone who follows it has made huge benefits.
The model has set her sights on Thunder vs. Mavs. Can Head to SportsLine now to see the picks.. Here are several NBA Betting Lines and trends for Mavs vs. Thunder:
- Distribution between Thunder and Mavericks: Thunder -2.5
- Thunder vs. Mavericks plus/minus: 239 points
- Thunder vs. Mavericks moneyline: Thunder -139, Mavericks +118
- OKC: Thunder are 14-10-1 against the spread in road games
- DAL: Mavericks are 11-16 against the spread in home games
- Thunder vs. Mavericks Picks: See selections on SportsLine
Why the Thunder can cover
Oklahoma City has an MVP candidate in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, and is key for one of the best offensive teams in the NBA. Gilgeous-Alexander has at least 30 points in 37 of his 50 games this season and is averaging 31.1 points and 6.6 assists per game. He’s also very efficient, shooting 54.7% from the field, and Gilgeous-Alexander leads the league in drives per game. With Gilgeous-Alexander at the point of attack, the Thunder are excellent on offense, scoring 119.3 points per 100 possessions this season.
OKC ranks in the top five in the NBA in field goal percentage (50.1%), 3-point percentage (39.2%), and 2-point percentage (56.8%), and the Thunder are also elite at the free throw line, converting 83.% of attempts. The Thunder commit turnovers on just 12.4% of offensive possessions this season, and Oklahoma City is averaging more than 27 assists per game. Oklahoma City also sits comfortably in the league’s top ten in point generation in the paint (53.5 per game) and fast break points (15.2 per game) this season. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Mavericks can cover
Luka Doncic It is located in the middle of a dominant stretch. The Mavericks star is averaging 39.9 points, 10.4 assists and 10.3 rebounds per game over his last seven outings, shooting 52.3% from the field and 40.3% from 3-point range in that sample. Doncic also leads the NBA with 34.6 points per game on the season and is in the top five in the NBA with 9.5 assists per game. In the first meeting between these two games, Doncic exploded with 36 points, 18 assists and 15 rebounds, and is the engine of a very strong offense.
Dallas is scoring over 1.17 points per possession this season, and the Mavericks are second in the NBA in committing just 12.3 turnovers per game. That’s a key quality against Oklahoma City’s ball-selling defense, and Dallas is also burying 15.2 3-pointers per game. The Mavericks can also take advantage of two glaring weaknesses for the Thunder, as Oklahoma City ranks in the bottom third of the NBA in defensive rebounding rate (68.0%) and free throw prevention (24.1 attempts allowed per game). See who to back at SportsLine.
How to Make Mavericks vs. Thunder Picks
The model has simulated Thunder vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and is leaning under the total, projecting a combined 240 points. It also says that one side of the differential affects almost 70% of the time. You can only see the picks on SportsLine.
So who wins Thunder vs. Mavs and which side of the spread wins almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you should jump on, all from the model with a 51-33 streak on the NBA’s top-rated picks this season.and find out.
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