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(Photo from ABC)
After months of speculation, predictions, and too many hot takes, it’s time once again for our annual election of who will take home a golden statuette this Sunday. Despite what was supposed to be a very competitive year of nominations with films like Barbie, The area of interest, Anatomy of a fall, Past Lives, The remainsand oppenheimer Being a part of the awards conversation from the beginning, we’re actually approaching what will likely be one of the most predictable awards ceremonies we’ve had in recent years.
Although there is still much to be decided, especially in the major categories, there have been dominant performances all year, especially for names like Robert Downey Jr. and Da’Vine Joy Randolph, who have swept all the previous awards. before Oscar Night. And in the craft categories, competitions have been organized for Best Music, Best Photography, Best Editing and Best Costumes for your favorite prospects. But there’s a lot to be said about who will join this year’s group of Oscar winners.
On the other hand, the main acting categories are not so obvious. Yes, it’s a two-person race in both. Still, anyone who claims Lily Gladstone, Emma Stone, Cillian Murphy or Paul Giamatti are a lock is underestimating how weird things get in the final days of Oscar voting.
(Photo by Melinda Sue Gordon/©Universal Pictures)
Even films with high levels of acclaim within the Academy have failed to secure any acting nominations. And yes, we’re still complaining again about Greta Lee’s snub for Past Lives. In truth, despite all the fuss over the fact that Greta Gerwig and Margot Robbie did not receive nominations for Best Director and Best Actress, respectively, both will be present on Sunday with more than a slim chance of winning something, which which is more than names like Lee, Teyana Taylor (thousand and one), and Natalie Portman (May December) can say about their work.
Even with everyone Oppenheimer dominance throughout the season, if it doesn’t win more than 50% of Best Picture voters, it would trigger the ranking voting scenario and a secondary favorite like Barbie either The remains could give the presumptive winner a run for his money. However, after recent wins for Best Picture at the PGA, BAFTA, Critics Choice Awards, and Best Ensemble at the Screen Actors Guild Awards, the chances of any other film winning would be a statistical anomaly that would go down in history.
If you’ve been checking out our awards leaderboard, you’ll know that oppenheimer It’s also taken the most awards and is currently on track to be the most awarded movie we’ve had since we started tracking. But there are still plenty of races up in the air. We have questions about the Best Animated Feature, the contest between The boy and the heronorth and Spider-Man: Through the Spider-verse. If the webslinger’s film can score a win, it would be the first time a film series outside of the Pixar landscape has repeated in the category. And there is a lot to say in the shorts category. We have featured films about a barber in Arkansas, The ultimate repair shop in Los Angeles, shorts about the music of John and Yoko, and a very compelling short by Wes Anderson (The Wonderful World of Henry Sugar), which will likely earn the filmmaker his first Oscar after eight nominations.
With so much drama yet to unfold, we will of course be tuning in and hope it’s a fun ride on Oscar night where we’re sure there will be, as there always are, more than a handful of surprises. Our awards editor, Jacqueline Coley, has made these guesses based on the critical reception of potential nominees (hello, Tomatometer!), the nominations and awards they’ve received from guilds and other groups during awards season, and what we hear from voters and others in the industry, also known as the “buzz.”
Read on for our picks for the 2024 Oscar winners. Let us know who you think will win in the comments, and tune in to ABC on Tuesday at 8am EST/5am PST to see if we, or you, were right.