Weekend Box Office Forecast: KUNG FU PANDA 4’s Debut Will Challenge DUNE: PART TWO’s Second Frame


kung fu panda 4
© 2024 DreamWorks Animation LLC All rights reserved.

The March box office rebound continues this weekend with a family-friendly counterprogramming option that will accompany the second year of Dune: Part TwoThe successful sequel to.

kung fu panda 4


March 8, 2024 (WIDELY)

Opening weekend range: $44 million-$54 million


  • As the first high-profile animated, family-friendly release to hit theaters since December Migration and Wonkafamilies are expected to attend kung fu panda 4 in healthy numbers. Pre-sales are ahead of The trolls unite at the same point before launch. A partial PLF print will also be useful.
  • Dune: Part Two stood out with an $82.5 million debut last weekend, putting it at the upper end of expectations. Its excellent reception and PLF strength should boost staying power in the chase weekends going forward, as the sequel’s Rotten Tomatoes critic and audience scores sit at 93 percent and 95 percent, respectively.
  • Angel Studios returns with another strong pre-sale in Cabrini that should highlight the distributor’s core religious audience.

Dune: Part Two

Warner Bros.

Second weekend range: $40 million-$47 million


  • As a 16-year-old franchise that has also been spun into several television series and specials, Kung Fu Panda as a brand is certainly a candidate for some diminished returns, as some of today’s kid audiences may not be as familiar with the popular series as those who grew up during the IP’s peak in 2008 and 2011.
  • If there are any precautions when evaluating Dune: Part TwoThe film’s expected staying power is primarily realized in an over-reliance on adult male audiences (59 percent male and 64 percent over 25 on opening weekend) and PLF formats (48 percent). This last statistic could continue to increase demand for screenings if casual audiences expect a more optimal way to experience the film.


angel studies

Opening weekend range: $3 million-$6 million

Current projection ranges require 7% increase of the top ten comparable weekend total of $113.4 million in 2023 and a 39% decrease up from $198.1 million in 2019 during the same calendar periods.

MovieStudy3 day weekend forecastNational total projected until Sunday, March 103-day % change since last week
kung fu panda 4universal photos$48,300,000$48,300,000NEW
Dune: Part TwoWarner Bros. Photos$43,800,000$152,900,000-47%
Bob Marley: One lovesupreme images$5,800,000$91,200,000-22%
Cabriniangel studies$5,200,000$5,200,000NEW
ordinary angelsLionsgate and Kingdom Story Company$2,000,000$16,000,000-46%
lady webSony and Columbia images$1,800,000$43,200,000-43%
The Chosen Ones: Season 4 Episodes 7 – 8Depth events$1,600,000$7,300,000-51%
MigrationUniversal images and lighting$1,500,000$125,700,000-40%
WonkaWarner Bros. Photos$1,000,000$218,200,000-41%

All forecasts are subject to review/finalization.n before the first confirmation of Friday’s opening previews or estimates from studios or official sources.

Room counts are studio estimates OR unofficial projections if preceded by “~”.

The table above does not necessarily represent exact rankings, as some studios do not finalize weekend location counts and/or intend to report box office receipts prior to release.

kung fu panda 4
© 2024 DreamWorks Animation LLC All rights reserved.

Leave a Comment